How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Augsburg to win 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Augsburg and 1.3 from Schalke 04, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Augsburg to win. Augsburg are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.28, which works out at about 44 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
