What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Augsburg and 1.3 from Schalke 04, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Augsburg come into this on two straight defeats. Schalke 04 come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Augsburg to win. Augsburg are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.25, which works out at about 44 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Schalke 04 to spoil this. We only make this about 55%, so it's far from a lock.
