M'gladbach v Hoffenheim prediction

M'gladbachLWLLL

HoffenheimLWWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from M'gladbach and 1.8 from Hoffenheim, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

M'gladbach come into this on three straight defeats. Hoffenheim come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 67%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say

✓M'gladbach have won one of their last five.

✓Hoffenheim have won two of their last five.

✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.

✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

16 May 2026M'gladbach 4 - 0 Hoffenheim

14 Jan 2026Hoffenheim 5 - 1 M'gladbach

3 May 2025M'gladbach 4 - 4 Hoffenheim

21 Dec 2024Hoffenheim 1 - 2 M'gladbach

20 Apr 2024Hoffenheim 4 - 3 M'gladbach

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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