Hamburg v Stuttgart: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 65%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

Hamburg host Stuttgart at the Volksparkstadion on 17 October 2026 in a Bundesliga clash that could shift the table. Hamburg sit a few points above the relegation zone while Stuttgart are a little higher, both looking to climb. The two clubs are close in the standings, and a win will move the victor a step up and push the loser down. The match promises an open game, with chances likely at both ends.

Hamburg have been on a mixed run in their last eight fixtures, winning four, drawing one and losing three. Their most recent results are a 3-2 win at Hoffenheim, a 2-1 victory over Cologne at home and a 5-0 loss to Leipzig away. Before that they fell 5-0 to Mainz at home, lost 2-0 to Dortmund away and drew 1-1 with Leverkusen on the road. The side have scored eleven goals while conceding nineteen in those eight games and have failed to find the net three times. At home they have won two of their last three matches, and six of the eight games have produced three or more goals, with both sides scoring in five of them.

Stuttgart’s form over the same period shows three wins, two draws and three defeats. Their latest outings include a 2-0 win at Paderborn, a 1-0 loss to Dortmund at home and a 2-1 defeat at Hoffenheim away. Prior to that they beat Cologne 4-1 at home, were thrashed 5-1 by Bayern on the road and drew 2-2 with Ein Frankfurt away. In those eight games Stuttgart have scored sixteen and let in fifteen, keeping only one clean sheet and failing to score once. On the road they have one win, two draws and two losses in the last five trips. Six of the eight matches have seen three or more goals, and both teams have scored in all six of those high-scoring games.

The two clubs have split their recent head-to-head meetings, each winning once with no draws. Those encounters have averaged 3.5 goals. The most recent meeting was a 4-0 win for Stuttgart in April, showing that both sides are capable of scoring in abundance. Given the goal averages and the fact that six of Hamburg’s eight recent games and six of Stuttgart’s eight have featured three or more goals, we expect another open affair with chances on both flanks.

Our pick is both teams to score. Hamburg have a 73 % chance of scoring at least once and Stuttgart an 88 % chance, while the likelihood of both sides finding the net sits at 65 %. The price of 1.44 is shorter than our reading, which makes it attractive. For the bet to fail, Hamburg would need to be shut out or Stuttgart would have to keep a clean sheet – both scenarios are unlikely given the recent goal-rich patterns of each side. We think the price is good and the odds of both teams scoring are high enough to back this selection.