How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Ararat-Armenia (Draw No Bet) 66%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Ararat-Armenia (Draw No Bet). Ararat-Armenia favoured (xG 1.9-1.3); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Ararat-Armenia have won two of their last five.
✓Celje have won two of their last five.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Celje win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 66% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
