How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 2.
What we said beforehand
We like Celje to win because they look like the stronger side. The price of 1.45 looks good to us. We think they have a good chance of coming out on top.
What the numbers say
✓Celje have won two of their last five.
✓Ararat-Armenia have won two of their last five.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Ararat-Armenia a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 51%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
