How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Over 2.5 goals 64%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 3.2 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Fenerbahçe have won two of their last five.
✓Sturm Graz are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
Recent results
26 Feb 2026Wat Nottingham Forest · 1 - 2
19 Feb 2026Lvs Nottingham Forest · 0 - 3
29 Jan 2026Dat FCSB · 1 - 1
22 Jan 2026Lvs Aston Villa · 0 - 1
11 Dec 2025Wat SK Brann · 0 - 4
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