How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Over 2.5 goals 64%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 3.2 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Fenerbahçe have won two of their last five.
✓Sturm Graz are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →