How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1.
What we said beforehand
I like Levski Sofia to win because the price looks good. They seem to have a slight edge and we think they have a decent chance of winning. We are not very confident but it seems like a fair bet.
What the numbers say
✓Kairat Almaty have not won any of their last five.
✓Levski Sofia have won three of their last five.
Recent meetings
4 Aug 2026Levski Sofia 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty
One thing to watch
Kairat Almaty only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 50%.
