What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Ath Madrid and 1.7 from Man United, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Ath Madrid come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Man United to win. Man United shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.6-1.7), and we make them about 40% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 38 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.75, which works out at about 36 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
