How it turned out
We projected about 4.0 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Bayern Munich to win 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Viking and 2.9 from Bayern Munich, so Bayern Munich come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Viking come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Bayern Munich to win. Bayern Munich shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.9), and we make them about 74% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.12, which works out at about 89 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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