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Football/EFL Championship/Birmingham v Swansea
EFL Championship · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Birmingham v Swansea prediction

Birmingham crestBirmingham6th of 24 · 23 ptsWWWLW
v
Swansea crestSwansea2nd of 24 · 26 ptsWWLLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Birmingham and 1.0 from Swansea, so Birmingham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Birmingham or Draw. This covers Birmingham or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Birmingham have won four of their last five.
✓Swansea have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

17 Jan 2026Swansea 1 - 1 Birmingham
20 Sept 2025Birmingham 1 - 0 Swansea
13 Jan 2024Birmingham 2 - 2 Swansea
5 Aug 2023Swansea 1 - 1 Birmingham
4 Feb 2023Swansea 3 - 4 Birmingham

Birmingham have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.

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More EFL Championship fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Saturday, 7 November 2026 →
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