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Football/EFL Championship/Burnley v Wolves
EFL Championship

Burnley v Wolves prediction

Burnley crestBurnley24th of 24 · 4 ptsDLDLD
v
Wolves crestWolves4th of 24 · 14 ptsWLDWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Burnley and 1.3 from Wolves, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Wolves come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Burnley or Draw. This covers Burnley or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Burnley have not won any of their last five.
✓Wolves have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 May 2026Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves
26 Oct 2025Wolves 2 - 3 Burnley
2 Apr 2024Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves
5 Dec 2023Wolves 1 - 0 Burnley
24 Apr 2022Burnley 1 - 0 Wolves
Burnley have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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