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Football/EFL Championship/Millwall v Lincoln
EFL Championship · The Den

Millwall v Lincoln prediction

Millwall crestMillwall8th of 24 · 14 ptsWLDDW
v
Lincoln crestLincoln15th of 24 · 11 ptsDWWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Millwall and 0.8 from Lincoln, so Millwall come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Lincoln come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.3 goals between the two (xG 1.5-0.8). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.

We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.

What the numbers say
✓Millwall have won two of their last five.
✓Lincoln have won two of their last five.

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Burnley crestBurnleyvCharltonCharlton crest★★★★★
Burnley are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.9), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBurnley to win · 1.64Share
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