Millwall FC v Lincoln City prediction

What to expect

Lincoln City come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Millwall FC over 3.5 corners. Our model makes this about 88% for the home side. The match odds make the home side a clear favourite, and favourites win more corners. Corners are a new market for us — the record is public from day one.

We put the chance of that landing at about 88 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.