What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Cardiff and 1.6 from Wrexham, so Wrexham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Wrexham (Draw No Bet). Wrexham favoured (xG 1.4-1.5); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Cardiff win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 58%.
