How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Wrexham (Draw No Bet) 53%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Cardiff and 1.6 from Wrexham, so Wrexham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Wrexham (Draw No Bet). Wrexham favoured (xG 1.4-1.5); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.98, which works out at about 51 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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