What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Sheffield United and 1.1 from Birmingham, so Sheffield United come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sheffield United come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sheffield United (Draw No Bet). Sheffield United favoured (xG 1.5-1.1); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.73, which works out at about 58 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Birmingham win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 64% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
