How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Charlton to score 73%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Charlton and 1.0 from Portsmouth, so Charlton come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Charlton to score. This is about Charlton's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Portsmouth have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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