What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Lincoln and 1.3 from Blackburn, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Lincoln come into this on two straight wins. Blackburn come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.5 goals in total (xG 1.2-1.3), keeping it under more often than not (about 53%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.90, which works out at about 53 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. We make it about 53% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
