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Football/EFL Championship/Preston v Bristol City
EFL Championship

Preston v Bristol City prediction

Preston crestPrestonLLL
v
Bristol City crestBristol CityDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Preston and 1.3 from Bristol City, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Preston come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 54%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.73, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Preston have not won any of their last three.

One thing to watch

One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 54%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

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