How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Middlesbrough to score 2 or fewer 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Middlesbrough and 1.1 from Millwall, so Middlesbrough come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Middlesbrough come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Middlesbrough to score 2 or fewer. This is about Middlesbrough's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Middlesbrough have won three of the last five meetings.
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