What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Portsmouth and 1.0 from Stoke, so Portsmouth come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Portsmouth to score. This is about Portsmouth's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.3 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 2-2, with no drawn.
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