Preston v Lincoln: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 54%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.2 goals from Preston and 1.1 from Lincoln, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Lincoln come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 54%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.