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Football/EFL Championship/West Brom v Millwall
EFL Championship · The Hawthorns

West Brom v Millwall prediction

West Brom crestWest Brom4th of 24 · 24 ptsLWWDW
v
Millwall crestMillwall12th of 24 · 18 ptsWLDLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from West Brom and 1.0 from Millwall, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.2-1.0), keeping it under more often than not (about 81%). Clear chances should be at a premium.

We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓West Brom have won three of their last five.
✓Millwall have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent results

10 Apr 2026West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
4 Oct 2025Millwall 3 - 0 West Brom
15 Feb 2025Millwall 1 - 1 West Brom
5 Oct 2024West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
29 Mar 2024Millwall 1 - 1 West Brom

Millwall have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.

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More EFL Championship fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Saturday, 7 November 2026 →
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