West Ham v Wolves: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.7 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 69%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

The game looks fairly even but a little tilted to Wolves. Our goal expectations are 1.6 for West Ham and 2.1 for Wolves, which adds up to about 3.7 goals in total. That suggests an open match with chances for both sides rather than a tight, low-scoring affair.

Looking back, Wolves have been unbeaten in their last five league outings, winning three and drawing two. West Ham have been more mixed, with two wins, one draw and two losses in the same span. In the last five meetings between the clubs, West Ham have the edge with three wins to Wolves’ two, and those games have produced an average of 2.8 goals. The most recent encounter was a 4-0 win for West Ham in April, but the overall pattern still points to both teams finding the net.

We pick both teams to score. Both sides are scoring around a goal and a half per game, so it is likely each will get on the board. The price of 1.68 looks good to us, as it is longer than what we think the match will deliver. Our confidence in this outcome is about 69 out of 100.

For this pick to fail, one side would need to keep a clean sheet. That could happen if the game turns very defensive or if one team dominates without reply. We still feel fairly strong about both teams scoring, but we recognise a clean-sheet result would break the view.