How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 61%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good. We think there will not be many clear chances to score, which means not many goals. This could be a tight game with few goals, so under 3.5 goals seems like a good choice.
What the numbers say
✓Shandong Taishan have won three of their last five.
✓Qingdao Hainiu have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
26 Apr 2026Qingdao Hainiu 4 - 1 Shandong Taishan
20 Sept 2025Qingdao Hainiu 2 - 2 Shandong Taishan
1 May 2025Shandong Taishan 1 - 1 Qingdao Hainiu
13 Jul 2024Shandong Taishan 1 - 1 Qingdao Hainiu
5 Apr 2024Qingdao Hainiu 0 - 1 Shandong Taishan
One thing to watch
It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell. We make it about 61%: a lean, not a lock.
