How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
This game between Wuhan Three Towns and Shanghai Port looks like it could be an open one with chances at both ends. Shanghai Port are the stronger side based on the numbers, but not by a huge amount. We think Wuhan Three Towns can still cause them problems and find the net.
Looking at the recent results, Wuhan Three Towns have been a bit inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 league games. They've also drawn their last 2 games. Shanghai Port have been more consistent, with 3 wins in their last 5 games, and they're coming into this match on the back of 2 straight wins. The last 5 meetings between these two teams have all been won by Shanghai Port, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Our pick for this game is both teams to score, and we think this has a good chance of happening. We make it about 59% likely, and we think both teams have enough of a threat to find the net. The price of 1.50 looks a bit short to us, but we still think it's a good bet.
For this bet to go wrong, one of the teams would have to have a really poor game in front of goal, or the other team would have to dominate and keep a clean sheet. We don't think this is likely, given the numbers and the recent results. We're fairly confident in our pick, but we're not expecting a certainty - just a good chance of both teams scoring.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
If one attack goes missing for the night, both teams scoring falls flat. The price is shorter than our own read of about 59%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
