Aris Limassol v Omonia Nicosia: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Omonia Nicosia to win 47%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Aris Limassol and 1.5 from Omonia Nicosia, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Omonia Nicosia come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Omonia Nicosia to win. Omonia Nicosia shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.5), and we make them about 48% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.