How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Aris Limassol to win 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Krasava Ypsonas FC and 1.9 from Aris Limassol, so Aris Limassol come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Krasava Ypsonas FC come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Aris Limassol to win. Aris Limassol shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.9), and we make them about 56% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Aris Limassol have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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