How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Anorthosis to win 47%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Nea Salamis and 1.5 from Anorthosis, so Anorthosis come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Nea Salamis come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Anorthosis to win. Anorthosis shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.5), and we make them about 49% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 47 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.55, which works out at about 39 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Anorthosis have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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