What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Barcelona SC and 1.4 from Independiente del Valle, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Barcelona SC come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Independiente del Valle to win. Independiente del Valle shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.4), and we make them about 43% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Independiente del Valle have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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