How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made LDU de Quito to win 43%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from LDU de Quito and 1.1 from Universidad Católica, so LDU de Quito come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Universidad Católica come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: LDU de Quito to win. LDU de Quito are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.1), and we make them about 45% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Universidad Católica have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
