How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Deportivo Cuenca to win 44%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Deportivo Cuenca and 1.0 from Mushuc Runa, so Deportivo Cuenca come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Deportivo Cuenca to win. Deportivo Cuenca are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.0), and we make them about 46% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 44 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Mushuc Runa have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
