Fleetwood Town v Sheffield United: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Fleetwood Town to score 1 or fewer 79%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.1 goals from Fleetwood Town and 1.7 from Sheffield United, so Sheffield United come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sheffield United come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Fleetwood Town to score 1 or fewer. This is about Fleetwood Town's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 79%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.