How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Excelsior to score 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Ajax and 1.1 from Excelsior, so Ajax come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Ajax come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Excelsior to score. This is about Excelsior's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 73%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
