How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 4. We made Heerenveen to score 2 or fewer 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Sparta Rotterdam and 1.5 from Heerenveen, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Heerenveen to score 2 or fewer. This is about Heerenveen's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Heerenveen have won three of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
