Den Haag v Cambuur: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 4.1 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Cambuur to score 71%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.1 goals from Den Haag and 2.0 from Cambuur, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 4.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Den Haag come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Cambuur to score. This is about Cambuur's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.