What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Cambuur and 2.7 from PSV Eindhoven, so PSV Eindhoven come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Cambuur come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: PSV Eindhoven to win. PSV Eindhoven shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.8), and we make them about 76% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
PSV Eindhoven have won three of the last four meetings.
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