How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Under 3.5 goals 61%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Zwolle come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 3.1 goals in total (xG 1.2-1.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 64%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Ajax have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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