What to expect
Algeria host Niger in a friendly on 6 October 2026. Both teams are using the match to fine-tune their squads rather than chase points, so the coaches are likely to rotate players. In the unofficial ranking of this game Algeria sit comfortably above Niger. The numbers we have suggest Algeria will average about three goals while Niger are expected to find the net less than one time. That gap makes Algeria the clear favourite, but the friendly nature means there will still be room for chances at both ends of the pitch. A win for Algeria will keep them looking strong ahead of any competitive fixtures, while a positive result for Niger would be a morale boost even if the scoreline stays close.
Our pick is Algeria to win. The price on offer is 1.23, which is longer than what we feel the game deserves. Based on the goal expectations – roughly 3.0 for Algeria and 0.8 for Niger – we see an 87 % chance of Algeria coming out on top. The chance of Algeria scoring at all is 95 %, and the chance of them scoring twice or more is 80 %. Niger’s chances are much slimmer, with a 46 % chance to score and only a 13 % chance to hit the net twice. With those odds, taking Algeria to win looks the cleaner play. The price is attractive enough to make a small profit if the result goes our way, and the only way it could go wrong is if Niger manage to surprise us with a strong defensive display and keep the score level or win, which the numbers say is unlikely.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
