Bermuda v Saint Lucia prediction

What to expect

We expect about 2.3 goals from Bermuda and 1.7 from Saint Lucia, so Bermuda come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Bermuda come into this on four straight defeats. Saint Lucia come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Bermuda or Draw. This covers Bermuda or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.98, which works out at about 51 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.