What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Burundi and 2.5 from Algeria, so Algeria come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Algeria to win. Algeria shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-2.5), and we make them about 83% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
