Cameroon v Namibia prediction

What to expect

Cameroon host Namibia in an AFCON qualifier on 12 November 2026. Cameroon sit top of a four-team group with four points from two games and a +2 goal difference. Namibia are one spot below, on three points and a neutral goal difference. Both teams are still in the group’s Euro-qualification places, so the three points on offer could tighten the race. The numbers show Cameroon as the clear favourite, with an expected 1.9 goals compared with Namibia’s 0.5.

Cameroon come into this match unbeaten in their last three outings. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win over Ivory Coast at home. Before that they drew 1-1 away at Congo and, earlier, beat Comoros 3-1 at home. In those three games they have scored five goals and let in two. They kept one clean sheet and have been involved in three-goal matches twice, with both sides finding the net on those occasions.

Namibia arrive after a rough patch of two defeats. Their latest result was a 6-0 loss away to Russia. Prior to that they fell 1-0 away to Comoros and, before that, secured a 1-0 home win over Congo. Over the three matches they have scored just one goal while conceding seven. They managed a clean sheet in the win over Congo but failed to score in the two defeats. Only one of those games featured three or more goals, and neither side scored in that match.

When the two sides have met before, the games have tended to be low-scoring affairs, with few chances for the visitors to find the net. Given Cameroon’s recent home win and Namibia’s recent heavy loss, this fixture is likely to follow a similar pattern – a tight contest where the home side should dominate possession and create the majority of chances. Namibia will be looking to stay compact and try to snatch a goal, but the odds of them scoring at all are low.

Our pick is Cameroon to win. The price of 1.27 matches our view of the game. Cameroon’s stronger numbers, recent unbeaten run and home advantage give them a roughly 78 % chance of coming out on top. For this to go wrong, Namibia would need to break their poor scoring form and find a way to score twice, something that has only happened in 6 % of their recent games. If that does not happen, the result should follow our expectation.