What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Estonia and 1.7 from Iceland, so Iceland come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Iceland come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Iceland or Draw. This covers Iceland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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