How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Finland or Draw 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Finland and 1.1 from Belarus, so Finland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Finland or Draw. This covers Finland or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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