Grenada v Bonaire prediction

What to expect

Grenada host Bonaire in a CONCACAF Nations League clash on 6 October 2026. In the group Grenada sit third out of four with three points from three games and a goal difference of minus five. One place above them, St Kitts and Nevis sit on four points, while Bonaire sit bottom with zero points and a minus four goal difference, three points behind Grenada. Both teams are coming off a three-day break, so fatigue may play a part. The match can change the relegation picture for Bonaire and give Grenada a chance to climb out of the drop zone.

Grenada’s recent run has been mixed. Their last three fixtures were a 3-2 win away at Bonaire, a 3-0 loss away to St Kitts and Nevis and a 3-0 defeat at home to Cuba. In those three games they have scored three goals and let in eight. They failed to find the net in two of the matches. All three contests produced three or more goals, and only once did both sides score.

Bonaire have not enjoyed a win in their last three outings. They fell 3-2 at home to Grenada, then lost 2-0 away to Cuba and most recently were beaten 2-1 at home by St Kitts and Nevis. Across those games they have scored three goals while conceding seven, and they were shut out once. Two of the three matches featured three or more goals, and both sides found the net in two of them. The side arrives on three straight defeats and will be desperate to pick up a point.

The two sides have already met this campaign, with Grenada edging Bonaire 3-2 away. That game was high-scoring and showed that both teams can create chances. Given the recent goal-rich encounters, we expect another open affair with chances at both ends. Grenada’s slightly better scoring record and home advantage suggest they will be the more likely to finish on top, but Bonaire have shown they can find the net even when losing.

We pick Grenada to win. The price of 1.42 is shorter than our own view of the game, which gives Grenada about a 56 % chance of victory. The numbers also show Grenada are likely to score at least once in 86 % of games and to hit two goals in more than half of them. Bonaire will probably score, but less often and rarely twice. For our pick to go wrong, Grenada would need to be shut out and Bonaire to score two or more, which is a low-probability scenario. All things considered, backing Grenada looks the cleaner play.

Recent meetings