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Football/CONCACAF Nations League/Jamaica v Mexico
CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica v Mexico prediction

Jamaica flagJamaica2nd in Group 2 · 7 ptsWLWD
v
Mexico flagMexicoDDLL

What to expect

We expect about 0.8 goals from Jamaica and 1.4 from Mexico, so Mexico come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Mexico come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Mexico or Draw. This covers Mexico or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Jamaica have won two of their last four.
✓Mexico have not won any of their last four.

Recent results

6 Oct 2026Dat Honduras · 1 - 1
3 Oct 2026Wat El Salvador · 0 - 2
29 Sept 2026Lvs Honduras · 0 - 1
26 Sept 2026Wvs Guatemala · 3 - 2

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More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures

Full fixture list
Vietnam flagVietnamvTaiwanTaiwan flag★★★★★
Vietnam are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.3-0.7), and we make them about 92% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookVietnam to win · 1.13Share
New Zealand flagNew ZealandvIndiaIndia flag★★★★★
New Zealand are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.8-0.6), and we make them about 88% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookNew Zealand to win · 1.36Share
Ghana flagGhanavSomaliaSomalia flag★★★★★
Ghana are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.5), and we make them about 78% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookGhana to win · 1.07Share
Every game on Sunday, 15 November 2026 →
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