Japan v Brazil prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Japan and 1.4 from Brazil, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Japan come into this on three straight wins. Brazil come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Brazil or Draw. This covers Brazil or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.