What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Liechtenstein and 1.2 from Gibraltar, so Gibraltar come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Gibraltar come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Gibraltar or Draw. This covers Gibraltar or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
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