Madagascar v Guinea-Bissau prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Madagascar and 1.1 from Guinea-Bissau, so Madagascar come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Guinea-Bissau come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Madagascar or Draw. This covers Madagascar or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.