What to expect
Martinique host El Salvador in a CONCACAF Nations League clash on 5 October 2026. Both teams sit in the bottom half of the table. Martinique are fifth of six with three points and a –2 goal difference, just one place above El Salvador who sit sixth with the same three points but a –6 goal difference. The two sides are level on points, but a win for either club would lift them out of the relegation zone while a loss would seal their fate. The match promises a tight, low-scoring affair according to the numbers we have.
Martinique have played three games in their recent run, winning one and losing two. Their most recent result was a 2-1 victory over Honduras at home, which gave them three points. Before that they fell 2-1 away to Suriname and then suffered a 3-1 defeat away to El Salvador. In those three matches they have scored four goals and let in six. All three games featured three or more goals and both teams found the net each time. The island side are coming in on a short two-day turnaround after that win over Honduras.
El Salvador have also played three games, with one win and two losses. Their latest outing was a 2-0 defeat at home to Jamaica. Prior to that they were thrashed 6-0 away by Guatemala and, two games earlier, they beat Martinique 3-1 at home. Across those three fixtures they have scored three goals while conceding nine, and they failed to score in two of the matches. Like Martinique, they are playing again after only two days of rest.
The two teams have met before in this competition, with Martinique losing 3-1 away to El Salvador in their most recent encounter. That game saw four goals and both sides scoring, a pattern that has repeated in each of Martinique’s last three matches. Given the recent history and the similar goal-scoring records, we expect another low-scoring, closely contested game. The chance of either side finding the net is modest, and a double-goal result looks unlikely.
Our pick is Martinique or a draw. The price of 1.47 is longer than what we feel the game will deliver, giving us a good safety net. We think Martinique have a slight edge at home and the odds reward that edge nicely. For the pick to fail, the match would need to finish with El Salvador winning outright, or both teams failing to score, which would be a rare outcome given the scoring chances each side holds. We feel the price is attractive and the chance of success is high.
Recent meetings
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