Peru v Philippines prediction

What to expect

Peru host the Philippines in an international friendly on 13 October 2026. Both teams are using the match to test players rather than chase points, but the table still matters for confidence. Peru sit near the bottom after a string of defeats, while the Philippines are a little higher after a mixed set of results. The game offers Peru a chance to stop a slide and the Philippines a chance to prove they can compete with a stronger side.

Peru have not won any of their last four matches. Their most recent game was a 2-0 loss away to Colombia. Before that they fell 2-0 to Canada on the road, drew 1-1 with Mexico away and were beaten 4-1 by the United States away. In those four games they have scored only two goals while letting in nine. They failed to find the net in two of the matches and only one game produced three or more goals. The run leaves them on two straight defeats heading into this friendly.

The Philippines come into the fixture after three games with one win, one draw and one loss. Their latest outing was a 1-0 defeat away to Vietnam. Prior to that they earned a 2-1 victory over Thailand on the road and shared a 2-2 draw with Pakistan at home. Over the three matches they have scored four goals and also conceded four. They failed to score in the loss to Vietnam and two of the three games featured three or more goals, with both sides scoring in two of those encounters.

When the two sides have met before, the games have tended to have a few goals and both teams usually find the net. Given the recent form, Peru look likely to dominate possession and create chances, while the Philippines will try to stay compact and hit on the counter. The pattern suggests a game with at least a couple of goals, but the home side should have the edge in quality and recent attacking numbers.

Our pick is Peru on a draw-no-bet basis. The price of 1.56 is longer than our own reading of the match, so it looks attractive. We expect Peru to score at least once – the chance of them scoring is 88 % – and they have a good chance of finding the net twice. The Philippines are less likely to score, with a 44 % chance of any goal. If the match ends level our stake is returned, so only a Peruvian defeat would hurt us. The price looks good and the odds of our pick succeeding are high, around 85 % in our view.